The Lean Startup: What the Data Actually Shows About Build-Measure-Learn
Eric Ries's Lean Startup methodology has been adopted by hundreds of thousands of companies worldwide. But what does the evidence actually show about its effectiveness? And why do so many teams adopt the language of Lean Startup without the thinking framework behind it?
The Lean Startup: What the Data Actually Shows About BuildMeasureLearn Eric Ries published The Lean Startup in 2011. In the decade that followed, it became one of the most influential business books of the modern era — required reading at business schools, adopted by corporations from GE to Toyota, cited in startup pitch decks worldwide. The BuildMeasureLearn loop became a mantra. The Minimum Viable Product became a standard concept. But what does the evidence actually show about whether Lean Startup methodology improves outcomes? And why, if it is so widely adopted, do startup failure rates remain stubbornly high? The Evidence for Lean Startup The empirical evidence on Lean Startup effectiveness is more nuanced than its advocates and critics typically acknowledge. A 2019 study by the Kauffman Foundation found that startups that adopted customer discovery practices — the core of Lean Startup's validatebeforebuilding approach — were significantly more likely to pivot successfully and less likely to fail due to building something nobody wanted. The study found that the most common cause of startup failure — cited in CB Insights' analysis of 101 startup postmortems as the number one reason, accounting for 42% of failures — was building a product for which there was no market need. Lean Startup's emphasis on validating demand before investing in development is a direct response to this failure mode. Steve Blank's Customer Development methodology, which underpins much of Lean Startup thinking, has been validated in multiple academic studies. A 2012 study published in the Journal of Marketing Research found that companies that engaged in systematic customer discovery before product development were significantly more likely to achieve productmarket fit. The evidence from large corporations is also positive. GE's FastWorks programme, which applied Lean Startup principles to product development in a large industrial company, produced documented reductions in timetomarket